Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Juventus vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
TOR
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 1
JUV
24%
24%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
3 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
JUV
3 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
FCB
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FCB
6 - 1
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 2
FCB
37%
24%
39%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCB
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
FCB
2 - 0
LEV
70%
17%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |