Juventus vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ACM
0 - 2
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 2
JUV
17%
27%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
TER
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VAR
4 - 0
SAM
49%
30%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NAP
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
50%
30%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |