Juventus vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
VIC
0 - 3
JUV
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ROM
3 - 2
JUV
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
44%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
TAR
3 - 3
VAR
33%
34%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAT
70%
21%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAR
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |