Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 5-1
Juventus vs FC Petržalka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 3
HSV
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SAM
3 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAT
77%
15%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Petržalka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
PET
4 - 2
TAM
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NIT
1 - 2
PET
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 3
PET
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
PET
0 - 2
ZIL
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
PET
1 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |