Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Juventus vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 0
JUV
8%
20%
72%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
64%
21%
15%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 3
JUV
13%
22%
64%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
27%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
RMA
53%
24%
24%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |