Europa League Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Juventus vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TOR
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
JUV
3 - 2
CES
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VER
0 - 0
JUV
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAG
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
AEK
3 - 0
QPR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1977 |
QPR
3 - 0
AEK
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
CRV
3 - 1
AEK
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
AEK
2 - 0
CRV
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
DER
2 - 3
AEK
91%
6%
3%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |