Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
CA Juventus vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 0
JUV
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
ITU
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 3
AUD
34%
25%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 1
XVD
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 2
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
AUD
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |