Juventude Évora vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 2
MAF
23%
25%
51%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
EVN
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 1
MAF
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
FAT
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
EVN
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
FAT
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
ORI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |