EC Juventude vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 2
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
56%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |