EC Juventude vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 1
FLA
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 2
GAM
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 6
SAO
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |