EC Juventude vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GOI
2 - 1
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 2
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 2
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 3
PPE
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |