EC Juventude vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
VAS
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
FFL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 2
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 3
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
PAL
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
NAU
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |