Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
EC Juventude vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAC
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
LON
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LAJ
0 - 4
MET
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |