Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-2
EC Juventude vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 0
JUV
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
SLU
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
JMA
1 - 0
JUV
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
JMA
4 - 1
ACP
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
JMA
1 - 0
JUV
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCR
3 - 1
JMA
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
JMA
0 - 0
PAR
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |