Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
EC Juventude vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
2 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 2
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |