EC Juventude vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |