Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-4
EC Juventude vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ECS
2 - 1
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SLU
1 - 3
JUV
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
YPI
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SCI
7 - 0
JUV
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
2 - 1
JUV
22%
23%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
3 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
POR
4 - 0
CUI
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OES
3 - 2
POR
14%
21%
66%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |