Juventud vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
6º
4º
16
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
82% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
ORI
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
COL
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
TOR
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 2
TAC
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
LUZ
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |