Juventud vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
ATE
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
CSM
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
JUV
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
PRO
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 5
PRO
30%
25%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ROC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |