Juventud vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ETS
0 - 3
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 3
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
4 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
CER
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RIV
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
EME
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
FEN
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |