Juventud vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
HFC
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 2
PLA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |