Juventud vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 3
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 0
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
REN
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 2
HFC
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
CSC
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 3
BOS
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 2
SUD
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
3 - 1
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |