Juventud vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
SUD
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
JUV
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ETS
0 - 2
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MWA
4 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
PEÑ
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LFC
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |