Juventud vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUV
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
JUV
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOS
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |