Juventud vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
CER
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUV
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 3
SUD
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 1
ETS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 2
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 1
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |