Juventud vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CER
2 - 1
JUV
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
JUV
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
UMO
1 - 0
JUV
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
ATE
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALB
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |