Juventud vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ETS
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
SUD
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ETS
4 - 4
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 5
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
21%
26%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
DEF
26%
27%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |