Juventud vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 2
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 4
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
ETS
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
PRO
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LFC
4 - 2
DEF
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |