Juventud Unida vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
9º
5º
12
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DPA
1 - 1
JUU
41%
27%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 2
JUU
73%
18%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 0
MER
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 1
JUU
45%
26%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
CAM
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
MER
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
CBA
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
MER
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 0
MER
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |