Juventud Unida vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
8º
19
2º
9º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 1
JUU
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 2
CBA
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
JUU
3 - 1
MER
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
JUU
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 0
DPA
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 2
DPA
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |