JU Gualeguaychu vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JU Gualeguaychu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
IRV
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CSE
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
DHA
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
JUV
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
SBA
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |