Juventud Universitario vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
3º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
JUU
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 2
CDA
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 0
JUU
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
JUU
14%
25%
61%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 1
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
CSE
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |