Juventud Universitario vs San Martín Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
3º
39
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 1
JUU
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
CIB
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
JUU
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 0
CSE
46%
29%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
JUU
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 3
SMA
69%
20%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
CDA
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 0
SMA
53%
25%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |