Juventud Italiana vs Río Aguarico analysis


47	ELO	37
0.6%	Tilt	0.2%
33422º	General ELO ranking	47272º
50º	Country ELO ranking	134º
ELO win probability

66%

Juventud Italiana

19.5%

Draw

14.5%

Río Aguarico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

66%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%

19.5%

Draw

0-0

4.9%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

19.5%

14.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juventud Italiana

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2022	CUM 1 - 2 JUV 22% 23% 54%	46	35	11	0
11 Sep. 2022	RIA 1 - 2 JUV 34% 25% 41%	45	40	5	+1

Matches

Río Aguarico

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2022	RIA 1 - 2 JUV 34% 25% 41%	40	45	5	0