Juventud Independiente vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
MET
5 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 3
AGU
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAS
3 - 1
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
UES
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
RSL
2 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
RSL
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |