Juventud Independiente vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
6 - 0
ALI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
CDD
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDD
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UES
1 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 4
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |