Juventud Independiente vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
6 - 1
MET
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIR
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 2
FIR
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ONC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UES
2 - 1
ONC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 3
FAS
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |