Juventud Independiente vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
6 - 0
ALI
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
CDD
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UES
3 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 1
CDD
55%
25%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
FIR
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 4
FIR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
ATL
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FAS
0 - 1
FIR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |