Juventud Independiente vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIR
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AGU
5 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
UES
1 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
FAS
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 2
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
UES
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 2
ALI
20%
30%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
VIS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |