Primera Apertura Final
Global 6-5
Juventud Escuintleca vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Escuintleca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 3
ESC
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANT
0 - 0
ESC
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
ANT
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 1
SAY
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAY
1 - 0
ESC
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 3
ESC
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -3 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COB
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SPD
2 - 0
UNI
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
SPD
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |