Juventud Alianza vs San Martín Rodeo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEC
1 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
SPO
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
DES
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Rodeo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
CEC
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
DES
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
28%
23%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRI
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |