Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
COS
5 - 1
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
4 - 2
FAE
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 8
VIR
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |