Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
TPE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TFI
0 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
62%
19%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TFI
4 - 2
VIR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |