Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-5
Juvenes / Dogana vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
DOM
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
VIR
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
BUD
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 2
POL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GÓR
0 - 1
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
POL
3 - 3
LPO
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
POL
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |