Juvenes / Dogana vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 3
JUV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 3
JUV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TFI
3 - 0
PEN
85%
12%
3%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
SMA
74%
14%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIR
7%
19%
75%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
LIB
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |