Juvenes / Dogana vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 4
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 5
SGI
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 3
COS
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAI
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |