Juvenes / Dogana vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
TPE
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
28%
27%
46%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 5
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
COS
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |