Juvenes / Dogana vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOL
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
TPE
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |