Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
TFI
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
JUV
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
TPE
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |