Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
COS
5 - 1
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 8
VIR
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
4 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |